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  • Posts

    • Bullion Investors Who Wait Too Long for Bargains Risk Getting Left Behind
      By Clint Siegner, Money Metals Exchange   After years of buying based on progressively lower metal prices, bullion investors find themselves facing a dynamic that has been missing for a while: higher prices. That leaves them in a bit of a quandary, and many are sitting on their hands. Investors need to feel like they are getting a bargain – that prices can head much higher still. Many aren’t “feeling” it in the bullion markets. Now that silver has made a run back to $20/oz and gold is once again at $1,350/oz, the metals don’t seem cheap. Some investors are even grabbing the opportunity to sell. The U.S. Mint finally caught up with orders for the silver American Eagle. Dealers are no longer faced with rationing by the dysfunctional government mint. And premiums for bellwether 90% silver U.S. coin bags are falling. For the first time in years, there is more than enough being sold back into dealer stocks. That makes now a good time to take a look at the landscape and decide whether metals are topping out here – or if today’s prices still represent a bargain.   We can start with economic growth and what that implies for Federal Reserve policy. Last week’s report on second quarter GDP missed expectations by a mile – coming in at just 1.2%, and the anemic growth numbers in the prior two quarters were revised downward. The Wall Street Journal characterized the “recovery” in the U.S. as the “weakest of the post-World War II era.” The author also points out that, at 7 years, this “recovery” is getting long in the tooth. This reality doesn’t jibe with comments from the Fed. It’s an awkward time for our central bankers. They promoted wildly unpopular bank bailouts and programs to buy Wall Street’s most toxic and fraudulent loans. They printed trillions to monetize Treasury debt. They pushed interest rates down to zero, which has decimated seniors and others who depend on interest income. They told us these measures were absolutely essential to returning the U.S. economy to solid footing. But this pathetic “recovery” is all they have to show for it. It cannot be totally ruled out that Fed officials could be right, that, after 7 years of tepid growth, the U.S. economy will finally lift off. That the Fed will finally normalize interest rates and no more stimulus will be necessary. There are market observers out there who still believe this to be possible. We don’t buy it. Even if, by some miracle, our stimulus-addicted economy can find a way to grow during withdrawals of stimulus, Congress can no longer live without the Fed’s magic money machine. Highest Probability Bet Is Lower Interest Rates, Higher Gold Prices   The Congressional Budget Office is projecting the federal government will rack up another $9.4 trillion in debt in 10 years. That may be wishful thinking. They have a history of underestimating how much programs will cost. Normalizing interest rates 3-4% higher than they are currently will lead to crushing public and private debt service payments and send the economy off a cliff. And no, electing Donald Trump as president won’t solve this problem either.   We suggest it would be wiser to bet on negative interest rates, or helicopter money, or both. That means the dollar has much further to fall and gold and silver prices are just getting started on their journey north. Bullion investors should also consider that, despite the rise in prices, the value proposition for gold and silver is quite compelling. Speculative interest in gold and silver futures is near all-time highs. Same for ownership in metals ETFs. Heavy speculative inflows in recent weeks may be cause for concern about precious metals markets overheating near-term. But by comparison, the bond and stock markets have been overheating for years. The “smart” money is dumping stocks and looking for alternative assets given that equity prices are so high with so little in the way of profits to support them. Large investors aren’t buying Janet Yellen’s assurances about recovery, and they are increasingly uncomfortable with price to earnings valuations at the current levels.   Want to know something else institutional investors don’t love? A 1.5% yield on a 10-year Treasury note. They may be buying bonds – perhaps because they anticipate yields are going even lower or even negative – but the lower yields go, the more attractive metals become. No one has to sacrifice much interest to hold metals instead of cash or bonds. Many hedge fund managers, including some who previously hated gold, are looking in consternation at inflated stock prices and epic low yields in the bond market and saying, why not? At least gold and silver are among the best performing assets of the year, and prices are still nowhere near all-time highs like bonds and equities. There is certainly nothing wrong with bargain hunting. Bullion investors just need to remember that when prices are in an uptrend, finding a bargain means not waiting too long to buy.   Clint Siegner is a Director at Money Metals Exchange, the national precious metals company named 2015 "Dealer of the Year" in the United States by an independent global ratings group. A graduate of Linfield College in Oregon, Siegner puts his experience in business management along with his passion for personal liberty, limited government, and honest money into the development of Money Metals' brand and reach. This includes writing extensively on the bullion markets and their intersection with policy and world affairs.
    • The True Nature of Gold Is Liberty
      “Look at that screen,” exclaimed Fox Business Network's Stuart Varney, referring to the television graphic showing markets crashing across the globe. “The only thing going up is the price of gold!”      “It's always a dangerous thing when you leave democracy up to the people,” joked Varney's guest – venture capitalist and author Peter Kiernan, as they watched Britain vote Thursday night to escape the European Union.   The dust is still settling after Britain's seismic Brexit vote June 23rd.  At issue: who should control British economic and immigration policies – Brits themselves, or unelected bankers and their bureaucracy stooges.  A choice between the liberty of self-determination or the tyranny of faraway cronyism.   While the gritty election fallout spread through rattled markets and wafted into plush offices of banking's money masters, the hard and fast implications were clear.  The British Empire stood tall on what outspoken political leader Nigel Farage called Our Independence Day. “Only Lunatics Would Consider EU Membership”   The Brit's dramatic decision is the latest revolt of those fearing the loss of personal and national identities.  Until Brexit, the populist revolution against powerful centralized world order was a series of smoldering brush fires.    The Brexit victory has now kindled a wildfire.   Spanish Catalonia was all set for independence from Spain in 2014, until stopped in its tracks by Spanish courts.  Scotland the same year managed to muster 45% of three million votes in a losing bid to leave the UK. Quebec voted down independence from Canada in 1995, but has never stopped talking about it. Strong political voices in Italy, France, Austria and even Germany are shouting to preserve national identities or else to leave the EU.   Italy's Five Star separatists claim support of half that country, and have just elected Rome's mayor.    Political leaders in the Netherlands and Poland, just hours after the June 23rd British Revolution, made it clear they will push for a Brexit replay.  Scots lost no time in restating their intention to separate from Great Britain.       Switzerland decided just two weeks ago to drop all plans to join the EU.   “Only lunatics,” said one Swiss official, “would consider EU membership.”    The big loser so far in the fight for economic self-determination is Greece.  Up to their Parthenon in debt for the next hundred years, Greeks elected Alexis Tsipras as Prime Minister, who promised to stiff Greece's banking creditors and give Greece a new start. But Tsipras turned on his people, repudiated the cradle of democracy's historic vote, and left Greece even deeper in debt.  Tspiras was channeling an old political axiom – if voting mattered, we wouldn't let them do it.  Here at home, the current and former governors of the always revolution-ready Texas have suggested secession from the United States.  A move to include secession as a plank in the Texas Republican platform came up just two votes short last May.  Secession efforts are now called “Texit.” Texas isn't alone.  Some thirty states have circulated petitions recently to gauge interest in secession. Californians have discussed carving their Golden State into three states.   Which brings us to the main event in the United States.  In twenty weeks, Americans will set a course for the world with their own historic choice – either sticking with what America has right now, or demanding monumental changes to government authority over lifestyles and pocketbooks.       The long list of financial crimes by over-bloated centralized governments include trillions in money printing to enrich banks; destructive interest rates to smother savings; punishing taxes; the war on cash to demolish private wealth; suffocating regulations on business owners; and the ongoing crime-in-progress of theft through planned inflation.  Unpopular open border policies toward immigration cannot be overemphasized as a driving factor in Britain's vote, or in the coming U.S. presidential election.  You wouldn't know it from watching or reading most lapdog media, but nowhere was the reaction to the Brexit earthquake more stunning than the immediate rush to gold. Media Overlooked the OTHER Big Story Last Week…   In a matter of a few hours Thursday night, gold shot straight up almost one hundred bucks from low to high, stopping just shy of $1360 per ounce.  The price perfectly tracked media reports of voting results.    As markets cratered worldwide, the message was clear.  Gold was the only safe haven – the blue ribbon champ – the last man standing.   By dawn's early light, London dealers were reporting record sales of coins and bars to store-front customers standing in line.  Google searches for “buy gold” went soaring 500%.  Online sellers had heavy traffic.   Brexit has been all about wealth and liberty – who will have it, and who will protect it.  Gold buyers knew the most enduring wealth for 5,000 years has been gold and silver you hold in your hand, unlike the trillions in digital wealth evaporating into cyberspace during Brexit's aftermath. Wealth is the stored and stockpiled accounting of our labor, time, energy, and talent.  We depend on that store of wealth to ensure financial liberty for our families, to pass on to future generations, or just to enjoy a day at the beach without punching a clock.  And without being told what to think.   Throughout history, gold and silver have been the sole survivors found in the smoking ruins of failed kingdoms, borders, flags and currencies. As markets began sinking like stones June 23rd, as bankers panicked, and as media pundits blathered, the price of liberty was paid, and the value of gold embraced.  Both gold, and liberty, were destined to shine that night, no matter what the cost.   Money Metals columnist Guy Christopher is a veteran writer living on the Gulf Coast. A retired investigative journalist, published author, and former stockbroker, Christopher has taught college as an adjunct professor and is a veteran of the 101st Airborne in Vietnam.    
    • I had as well switched jobs and acquired
      I had as well switched jobs and acquired made it a concern to acquire more “me time” during my new role.   I would never tried dieting prior to as I’d never Pro Plus Cleanse  wanted to after I was younger and my weight had somewhat snuck up on myself. I did remember that being difficult individuals in my family, so once I realized that I was overweight I did so somewhat of reading around to see what the methods and pitfalls were.
    • Spare Time
      We love travelling out of town or out of the country. Whenever my husband has a vacation or leave, we would go to scenic spots such as beaches, mountains and falls in our country. Luckily, our country has tons of scenic locations to visit and they're not that expensive to go to as well. We only need a car and some budget for food and a hotel and we're good. We always bring our son with us because we want to make memories with him. If we have the budget, we would go out of the country. Unfortunately, it can be quite expensive so we only do this once a year. Hopefully, this year or next year, we can go to Japan or South Korea. Fingers crossed!
    • Big Risks or Small Risks
      To be honest, I'm not that adventurous or risky with my money. If I could, I would just save up money in the bank. But we all know that that is not as profitable as investing. So to remedy that, I just intend to take smaller risks rather than big risks. I study and research well before investing my money. I don't just dive in and let go of my hard earned money. I calculate, learn and understand what markets might be profitable. But I don't just invest all my money in a market that seems profitable, I take small steps before leaping in.
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